Game projection
CIN at IND
lines updated
CIN at IND
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Game projection
lines updated
Every Thursday: the week’s value bets and results. Free.
No value bets on this game right now
Analysis, not a pick. This is how the model sees the game.
Game context
Pick a game on this week's board to see weather, rest, and travel.
Spreads are set to be close to 50/50.
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Our model: CIN by 7.8 · Market: no spread yet
Model win chance 72% vs market n/a (CIN)
Model analysis only, not a pick. Value bets use sharp market prices.
| Metric | CIN | IND |
|---|---|---|
| League scoring baseline | 22.4 | 22.4 |
| Offense contribution | +2.9 | -2.3 |
| Opponent defense | +2.5 | -1.7 |
| Home advantage | -0.8 | +0.8 |
| Before context | 27.1 | 19.3 |
| Weather / rest / travel | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Injury impact | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Final projection | 27.1 | 19.3 |
| Win chance | 72% | 28% |
| Fair moneyline | -260 | +260 |
Margin is from the home team’s view. Rounded values may not add exactly.
Fair chance removes the sharp sportsbook's house cut. Value compares that chance with the actual price at your books.
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Recent form
Scored / game
25.6
Allowed / game
21.8
ATS
2–2–1
Over / Under / Push
3–2–0
Recent form
Scored / game
24.0
Allowed / game
27.3
ATS
3–3–0
Over / Under / Push
4–2–0
No player stats available for this team.
No player stats available for this team.
Player stats are context only; they do not change the team score projection. Passing, targets, snaps, and confirmed lineups are not available in this feed.