Game projection
PHI at ARI
lines updated
PHI at ARI
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Game projection
lines updated
No value bets on this game right now
Analysis, not a pick. This is how the model sees the game.
Game context
Pick a game on this week's board to see weather, rest, and travel.
Spreads are set to be close to 50/50.
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Our model: PHI by 0.9 · Market: no spread yet
Model win chance 53% vs market n/a (PHI)
Model analysis only, not a pick. Value bets use sharp market prices.
| Metric | PHI | ARI |
|---|---|---|
| League scoring baseline | 22.4 | 22.4 |
| Offense contribution | -3.3 | -2.8 |
| Opponent defense | +4.7 | +1.7 |
| Home advantage | -0.8 | +0.8 |
| Before context | 23.0 | 22.1 |
| Weather / rest / travel | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Injury impact | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Final projection | 23.0 | 22.1 |
| Win chance | 53% | 47% |
| Fair moneyline | -111 | +111 |
Margin is from the home team’s view. Rounded values may not add exactly.
Fair chance removes the sharp sportsbook's house cut. Value compares that chance with the actual price at your books.
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Recent form
Scored / game
17.7
Allowed / game
22.8
ATS
1–5–0
Over / Under / Push
3–3–0
Recent form
Scored / game
21.0
Allowed / game
29.7
ATS
3–3–0
Over / Under / Push
3–3–0
No player stats available for this team.
No player stats available for this team.
Player stats are context only; they do not change the team score projection. Passing, targets, snaps, and confirmed lineups are not available in this feed.